Every scenario will be different, but lets say that in this case, in order to go from a $150 dollar per month bill to a $10 a month bill, we are going to need a 7kW system producing about 10,000kWh a year. The price per kWh would be about 18 cents here. 10,000kWh x $.18/kWh = $1800 per year.
The 7kW system would be around $25,000 in this scenario.
Total cost- $25,000
(30% Federal Tax Credit -$7,500)
(SRECS - $850 a year for 15 years = $12,750 total)
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Net Cost - $4,750
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Even if the price of power does not go up...
$4,750 net cost /$140 a month in savings = 3 years. BUT, the full SRECS are not paid out within the first 3 years and so while in the long run, looking back it's like the system paid for itself in 3 years, but for real world cash flow it'll be about 6-8 years.
In some cases the system could cost a bit less or more.
Calculations:
Tax credit - $25,000 x .3
SRECS - $85 x 10 SRECS x 15 years
*One SREC is for 1000kWh of production*